2009年4月27日星期一

Kroll on Futures Trading Strategy

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Gann - 45 Years In Wall Street

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TRADE YOUR WAY TO FINANCIAL FREEDOM

The title of Chapter 1 of this book is: “The Legend of the HolyGrail.” “The Holy Grail” is a phrase you often hear in some tradingand investment circles. Most people believe that it refers to somemysterious trading system out there that is going to make themmillions with little or no risk. It’s not that at all.But before I tell you about the Holy Grail, let me tell you a littleabout who I am and why Dr. Tharp asked me to write theForeword to his book. I started managing other peoples’ money in1992 and in just 5 years those assets have grown from about $3 millionto about $50 million. That has happened partially because myhedge fund has compounded by better than 40 percent per year, netto investors, over the last 5 years. We were up 61 percent net toinvestors in 1996 and 53 percent net to investors in 1997. Since I metDr. Tharp, my net worth has grown many times over, and I dobelieve that it comes from adopting many of the Holy Grail secretscontained in this book. I think that Dr. Tharp understands andteaches those,secrets better than anyone else I have ever met. Letme tell you why:... ...

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How To Trade In Stocks

The carecr of Jesse L, Livermore is a bright patch in the pattcm of speculation.He has bccn in the public eye as a stock-market factor almost continuously since as a youth he flashed like a comet across the speculative skie and became known as the millionaire Boy Plunger…. …

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2009年4月26日星期日

The Warren Buffett Way

When Robert Hagstrom first published The Warren Buffett Wayin 1994, it quickly became a phenomenon. To date, more than1.2 million copies have been sold. The book’s popularity is atestimony to the accuracy of its analysis and the value of its advice.Any time the subject is Warren Buffett, it is easy to become overwhelmedby the sheer size of the numbers. Whereas most investorsthink in terms of hundreds or perhaps thousands, Buffett moves in aworld of millions and billions. But that does not mean he has nothingto teach us. Quite the opposite. If we look at what he does and hasdone, and are able to discern the underlying thinking, we can modelour decisions on his.... ...

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Trader Vic on Commodities

Short sales can be made without the necessity of borrowing that stockentails. Many markets can be traded 24 hours a day to some degree, due tocommon markets throughout the world and through the use of electronicmarketplaces such as Globex. There is always a cash market to compare the futures price to, so unlikemany equities, the market price must in most respects be tied torealistic forces and factors. From an individual’s perspective, futures should be easy to comprehend.The price of a pound of sugar or a gallon of gasoline is somethingevery person can relate to, while the compounded annual growthrate of a multinational corporation, or the year-over-year same-storesales for a chain of jewelry stores might be more difficult for averageinvestors to wrap their minds around.... ...

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Principles of Professional Speculation

IntroductionIn Trader Vic-Methods of a Wall Street Master, I introduced the basic principles of speculation for the amateur or professional trader. The purpose of this book is to go a step further and provide detailed analytical tools for market analysis and forecasting. It is a user’s manual. if you will, for the established pro. Its message is directed at professional traders, those who wish to be professional traders. and those who love the markets as a passionate hobby, in lieu of golf or other timeconsuming activities. The purpose is simple: to help improve your trading and. as. a result, to help you make more money.To achieve any level of success in trading requires a significant investmerit in time and effort. All markets are the same in one important aspect: They constantly change. Keeping on top of everything takes discipline, research, attention to detail, and continuous study. But what is the best approach for that study? With all there is to master, what is the best way to decide what to buy and sell?DEFINING A PERSONAL PHILOSOPHYTo answer those questions, you need to develop a philosophy of trading and investing. A philosophy is a particular view of life and the world that you believe is “the truth.” When you understand my philosophy of trading, you will have a solid, unchanging foundation from which to make day-to-day decisions.My trading philosophy rests on some fundamental principles that I will describe shortly. Those principles grew out of my years of studying and thinking about economics.Now there’s a funny thing about economics. It’s an area in which a great many highly educated people have developed many theories and strongly held opinions, and have produced mountains of research to support their theories and opinions-and they seldom agree with one another. Because economics is an inexact science, the study of it includes a large measure of subjectivity, of personal philosophy. Anyone who thinks or writes about economics will, to some degree, incorporate the influence of personal values and beliefs, and I am no exception.... ...

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2009年4月24日星期五

stock market rules

Axioms relating to the stock market have probably been around as long asstock trading. One of the oldest known axioms relates to selling short: Hewho sells what isn’t hisen must buy it back or go to prison. The continuousbuying and selling in the stock market attracts clever sayings and words ofwisdom about what to do or what not to do in a particular situation. Alwaysremember that buying or selling stock involves two differences of opinion.The buyers believe that the price will rise and the sellers believe the price isgoing nowhere or down. How can axioms about trading stock be helpful?They are based on real stock market experience, and experience is often theseasoning that makes investors richer or poorer.... ...

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REMINISCENCES OF A STOCK OPERATOR

I went to work when I was just out of grammar school. I got a job as quotation-boardboy in a stockbrokerage office. I was quick at figures. At school I did three years ofarithmetic in one. I was particularly good at mental arithmetic. As quotation-board boy Iposted the numbers on the big board in the customers’ room. One of the customersusually sat by the ticker and called out the prices. They couldn’t come too fast for me. Ihave always remembered figures. No trouble at all.There were plenty of other employees in that office. Of course I made friends with theother fellows, but the work I did, if the market was active, kept me too busy from tena.m. to three p.m. to let me do much talking. I don’t care for it, anyhow, during businesshours.... ...

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Way of the Turtle

Although I have learned from almost everyone I have interactedwith over the years, there are a few people I want to thank especiallyfor their contributions to Way of the Turtle.First and foremost, I am greatly indebted to Richard Dennis, whohad the balls to propose and execute the Turtle idea. I am also gratefulfor his confidence in me and my abilities when I was only 19 yearsof age. Richard is one of the modern era’s truly great traders. He is alsoone of the most courageous. He is a thoughtful, honest, and genuineperson. I am honored to have learned from him.Second, I want to thank Rotchy Barker, who was my first tradingmentor. He took me into his home and taught me for no other reasonthan that he believed in me. Rotchy is the genuine article: a very generousand honest man and an excellent trader. I learned much of valuefrom Rotchy, not the least of which is that all successful people owetheir success to the help of others. I hope my own life honors that spirit.Third, ... ...

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Elite Trader’s Secrets

If you are serious about taking money out of the markets, you needthis critical information.“I wouldn’t trade without it” - Sam Bleecker“The analysis and direction that may happen is right mostall the time.” - William Witt“The number of profitable trades I’ve made has more thandoubled!” - Al Biddinger“It’s superior technical analysis.” - Jonathan Ravelas“It is often uncanny in its accuracy.” - Paul Holliman“A very accurate forecasting tool. Very helpful tounderstand what to trade and when.” - Elias Louca“A decade of gains in a fraction of the time.” - John Cody“Phenomenal! Now I just have to say this one thing alsoabout Rich Swannell is, in my opinion, as much a pioneeras were R. N. Elliott, Charles Dow, Robert Prechter Jr. andseveral others in this science of market tendenciesbecause by this automation process that science is beingboth furthered bythe study of the tiniest of details and propagated by theenabling of less able market technicians. This is thebenchmark of such pioneers.” - Thomas Hennessy
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How To Think Like Benjamin Graham and Invest like Warren Buffett

The main ideas in this booktrace their intellectual lineage toBenjamin Graham, whom I never knew but must thank posthumously,and Warren Buffett, whom I have the great fortune toknow and from whose writings, talks, and conversations I havegained knowledge and insight. Neither of these men, of course, hasany responsibility for this book’s content and no doubt would disagreewith some of what it says, though it is written as a narrativeinterpretation of principles they developed, to which it tries to befaithful.Mr. Buffett deserves my continuing thanks for permitting me toprepare a collection of his letters to the shareholders of BerkshireHathaway, The Essays of Warren Buffett: Lessons for Corporate America,and for participating along with Berkshire Vice-ChairmanCharles Munger in a symposium I organized to analyze it. Thanksalso to the readers of that collection of wonderful writings for encouragingme to write the present book, especially the courageouscollege and business school professors who use that bookin theircourses and their many students who tell me how valuable it is.Other fans of that bookwho encouraged me to write this oneinclude my friends at Morgan Stanley Dean Witter, led by DavidDarst and John Snyder; Chris Davis and KimMarie Zamot at DavisSelected Advisers; the team at Edward D. Jones; and supporters toonumerous to mention at other firms who appreciate the businessanalysis way of investing....

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